Baseball Analytics
MLB NRFI & YRFI Quantitative Projections
First inning scoreless run projections modeling starting pitcher 1st-inning FIP, top-of-order strikeout rates, and stadium weather vectors.
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OFFICIAL PLAY: NRFI (No Run 1st Inning) - Guardians vs Rays (-128)
Both starting pitchers boast sub-2.40 FIP in the 1st inning, facing top-of-the-order lineups ranking bottom-5 in contact rate.
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Key Statistical Trends in This Market
1st-Inning Pitcher FIP vs ERA
Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) in the first 15 pitches is 3x more predictive of scoreless frames than season ERA.
First-Plate-Appearance Strikeout Differential
Pitchers with a 28%+ strikeout rate through the first 3 batters cash the NRFI at a 74.2% rate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is an NRFI bet?
NRFI stands for No Run First Inning. You win the bet if both teams combine for zero runs in the first inning of the game.